Stefan Dekker

Prof. dr. Stefan Dekker

Bezoekadres

Droevendaalsesteeg 10
6708 PB Wageningen

+31 (0) 317 47 34 00

The Netherlands

Over

My research focus is on Ecohydrology and I aim to work on integrated solutions on sustainable water, sustainable land and halting biodiversity loss.

Biografie

Stefan Dekker is director of NIOO-KNAW, the Netherlands Institute of Ecology. He is also professor of Ecohydrology at the Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development at Utrecht University. His main research lines are:
1.    To fundamentally understand the direct drivers of interactions between the atmosphere, biosphere and hydrosphere. He hereby aims (i) to understand the resilience and water use of current and future forest types, including the role of forestation and deforestation and (ii) to fundamentally understand how plants adapt to changes in carbon, nutrient and water resources, and how those processes can be upscaled. 
2.    Understanding how indirect drivers impact the interactions between atmosphere, hydrosphere and biosphere. Indirect drivers play a major role in influencing direct drivers of biodiversity loss, ecosystem change and the ecohydrological processes. Therefore, socio-economic and demographic development, but also sustainable and technological innovations are important to include in future scenarios.

Stefan Dekker studied physical geography at the University of Amsterdam and he did his PhD at the Institute of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics (UvA-IBED) on forest ecohydrology. After his graduation, Stefan was staff member at Utrecht University, the Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development. He successfully supervised 20 PhD candidates, was full professor of Global Ecohydrology and Sustainability and was visiting professor at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Exeter University and Stockholm Resilience Center.

Dekker was director of education and director of research at the department of Sustainable Development in Utrecht between 2019 and 2025 and was head of the Environmental Sciences group at the Open Universiteit from 2018 to 2019.

Publicaties

Peer-reviewed publicaties

  • Ecosystem Services
    14-04-2026

    Nature-based solutions, ecosystem services, and human well-being in global south mangroves

    Dinda Prayunita, Annisa Triyanti, Stefan Dekker, Peter P.J. Driessen, Ralph J.M. Temmink

    The consequences of mangrove degradation, including biodiversity loss and the decline of associated ecosystem services (ES), have created a global urgency to protect mangroves through more integrated approaches such as Nature-based Solutions (NbS). NbS are increasingly promoted to address these challenges; however, there is still a lack of studies that synthesize current knowledge on the role of mangrove NbS in delivering ES and supporting human well-being. Through a systematic review, this study identifies and expands the knowledge of four key ES outcomes of mangrove NbS: coastal protection, sediment regulation, climate regulation, and habitat and biodiversity. However, only a small fraction of the literature provides empirical evidence linking these services to welfare benefits, underscoring the complexity of NbS–ES–well-being relationships within dynamic social–ecological systems. We propose a framework that highlights institutions and governance, and complementary socio-economic actions as critical enablers for translating NbS interventions into broader social and ecological benefits. Looking ahead, advancing mangrove NbS science and practice, particularly in the Global South, will require transdisciplinary, multi-stakeholder, and North–South collaborations to co-produce contextually relevant and actionable knowledge that bridges science, policy, and practice.

    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2026.101850
  • Land Use Policy
    08-04-2026

    Barriers and enabling conditions for improved land restoration and climatic resilience in Oromia, Ethiopia

    F. M. van Woesik, G. Senbeta, R Daniel, G. Eshatu, N. Masresha, I. Dorresteijn, Stefan Dekker, Hugo Jan De Boer

    Watershed restoration is widely promoted as a strategy for climate adaptation and land degradation control, yet long-term uptake and maintenance of restoration practices remain persistent challenges. This study focuses on Oromia, Ethiopia, examining how continuity, durability, and scalability of restoration practices are shaped by interactions between key barriers and enabling conditions across governance levels. Drawing on qualitative focus group discussions with 43 participants, including farmers, local administrators, technical experts, and policy actors across three woredas in Arsi Zone, the analysis identifies three cross-cutting clusters: planning quality, ownership and engagement, and coordination and accountability. The findings show that in Oromia, weaknesses in planning processes, particularly a campaign-based, top-down and quota-driven approach, constrain contextual adaptation, learning, and agroecological fit, among other factors. Barriers related to ownership and engagement highlight that in Oromia's watershed campaigns, participation is frequently short-term and incentive-driven with limited collective responsibility for sustaining structures and practices beyond short-term mobilisation. Challenges in coordination and accountability in Oromia, including fragmented mandates across governance levels and monitoring systems oriented toward upward reporting rather than horizontal learning, undermine credibility and adaptive capacity after campaign periods. Across these clusters, the interaction between barriers and enabling conditions gives rise to pathways that shape whether restoration efforts translate into sustained land-use change. Taken together, the results suggest that improving restoration outcomes in Oromia require system-level shifts aligning planning processes, community ownership arrangements, and institutional accountability mechanisms. The study highlights locally led climate adaptation as a practical entry point through site-specific planning, locally grounded monitoring, and social learning.

    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.108054
  • Science advances
    06-02-2026

    Can we Bend the Curve: Trends in Global Biodiversity Scenarios

    Flavia Aschi, Stefan Dekker, David Leclère, Alexandra Marques, Christian Neumann, Geanderson Ambrosio, Detlef P. van Vuuren
    https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aeb2277
  • Cambridge Prisms: Water
    17-12-2025

    Bridging technical insights and stakeholder perspectives: The role of models in environmental planning

    Borjana Bogatinoska, Angelique Lansu, Jean Hugé, Stefan Dekker, Jetse J. Stoorvogel
    Environmental modeling is a powerful tool for facilitating discussions among stakeholders involved in decision-making for environmental planning. This article explores how models can be used to structure stakeholder discussions by visualizing the opportunity space – the range of interventions that are deemed to be technically and physically feasible – and how it overlaps (or does not) with the decision space – the set of interventions considered acceptable or desirable by stakeholders. Using the case study of the Aa of Weerijs catchment in the Netherlands and Belgium, we demonstrate how different model contributions (sensitivity analysis, impact assessment and scenario evaluations at catchment and local levels) can aid these discussions by providing structured insights into potential interventions, both within the opportunity and decision spaces. The findings highlight how models can bridge gaps between stakeholders and technical experts by facilitating more effective discussions and better-informed decision-making processes in environmental planning.
    https://doi.org/10.1017/wat.2025.10010
  • Biogeosciences
    19-11-2025

    Forest favours conditions for convective precipitation in the Mediterranean Basin

    Jolanda J.E. Theeuwen, Sarah N. Warnau, Imme B. Benedict, Stefan Dekker, Hubertus V.M. Hamelers, Chiel C. van Heerwaarden, Arie Staal

    The Mediterranean Basin is identified as a climate change hotspot and prone to future drying. Through carbon sequestration, forests may mitigate climate change and reduce future drying. Nevertheless, the effect of forests on freshwater availability in the Mediterranean Basin is uncertain. Trees contribute to enhanced evapotranspiration, which may enhance drying; the resulting impact on precipitation in the Mediterranean Basin, however, remains unclear. Here we use a simple model to simulate the development of the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) to determine the impact of forest on convective rainfall potential. There is convective rainfall potential when (1) the ABL reaches the lifting condensation level, and (2) there is sufficient convective available potential energy. We model the ABL development over the Mediterranean Basin for a bare soil scenario (covered fully with bare soil) and a forest scenario (covered fully with forest) to determine its land cover sensitivity. In addition, we examine the sensitivity of the ABL to variations in soil moisture for the forest scenario specifically. We identify two distinct responses to forest in the Mediterranean Basin dependent on soil moisture content. Forest contributes to warming and drying in relatively dry regions (low soil moisture content) and to cooling and wetting in relatively wet regions (high soil moisture content). We find that both forest cover and soil moisture contribute to convective rainfall potential. In regions with a relatively high soil moisture content, forest cover positively influences both the convective available potential energy, and the crossing of the ABL and lifting condensation level. The results suggest that forestation in the Mediterranean Basin may contribute to local precipitation in relatively wet regions and reduce local precipitation in relatively dry regions.

    https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-6913-2025
  • Global Change Biology
    07-08-2025

    Trade-Offs and Synergies Between Climate Change Mitigation, Biodiversity Preservation, and Agro-Economic Development Across Future Land-Use Scenarios in Brazil

    Thomas M. R. Gérard, Sietze J. Norder, Judith A. Verstegen, Jonathan C. Doelman, Stefan Dekker, Floor van der Hilst
    Land-use change is a major driver of biodiversity loss and a key contributor to GHG emissions, making sustainable land use essential for biodiversity preservation and climate change mitigation. The impacts of land use change are location-specific, shaped by the biophysical context. Consequently, the extent and nature of these impacts are deeply influenced by the spatial configuration of land-use change. This is particularly relevant for Brazil, a global agricultural powerhouse, where agricultural expansion impacts biodiversity-rich and carbon-rich biomes. Understanding the future land-use trade-offs and synergies between agro-economic development, biodiversity preservation, and climate change mitigation is crucial to support sustainable land use in Brazil. In this study, we quantified these trade-offs and synergies for three SSP-based land-use change scenarios projected for 2050. For each scenario, we assessed the spatial variation in impacts on carbon stocks, mammal distributions, and agricultural revenues. Our results show that the agricultural economy is projected to grow at the expense of biodiversity preservation and climate change mitigation objectives, and vice versa. These trade-offs and synergies result from changes in natural vegetation and agricultural land, driven by shifting demand for agricultural products. In particular, under the SSP3-7.0 scenario, rising agricultural demand between 2015 and 2050 is projected to drive agricultural expansion into natural areas, increasing annual agricultural revenue by 36.5 billion USD2015 but reducing carbon stock by 4.5 Gt and mammal distribution areas by 3.4%. In contrast, the SSP1-1.9 scenario projects a decline in agricultural demand over the same period, driving the conversion of agricultural land to natural vegetation. This shift increases carbon stocks by 5.6 Gt and expands mammal distribution areas by 6.8%, although it would lower annual agricultural revenue by 33.4 billion USD2015. Our findings further highlight opportunities to reduce trade-offs by containing agriculture outside biodiversity-rich and carbon-rich biomes, in combination with strategic restoration of these regions.
    https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70418

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